GETTING STARTED
First steps
Arcdiction is a gamified prediction market built on Arc, with prices resolved by Pyth and USDC liquidity.
1. Connect your wallet
Use an EVM-compatible wallet on the Arc network (testnet for now).
2. Pick a market
Browse categories and see the current YES/NO probability.
3. Make your prediction
Deposit test USDC on your chosen position and watch your XP grow.
GETTING STARTED
Connect wallet
Click "Connect wallet" at the top of the page. Arcdiction supports the main EVM wallets, like MetaMask and Rabby. Once connected, your wallet is linked to your profile, XP and prediction history. On the Home page, inside the "Built on Arc" section, you'll find official links to get test USDC from the Circle faucet and add Arc Testnet to your wallet.
ABOUT
Overview
Users make predictions on real-world events — from crypto to sports to macroeconomics — betting on "Yes" or "No" outcomes. Arcdiction goes beyond a traditional betting market: it turns the experience into a game, with progression, competition and ongoing rewards.
Key differentiators: resolution via Pyth Network, USDC settlement powered by Circle infrastructure, and a gamification layer (XP, levels, daily check-in, weekly jackpot, leaderboard) that keeps the experience recurring and social.
ABOUT
Technology
Arc
Onchain infrastructure built for stablecoins — sub-second deterministic finality and USDC as native gas.
Pyth Network
Oracle — provides price and event data to resolve markets objectively.
USDC (Circle)
The stablecoin used for bets, liquidity and payouts.
MARKETS
Current markets
BTC above $100k by October 31?
Category: Crypto
Real Madrid wins the Champions League?
Category: Sports
Fed cuts US rates by December?
Category: Macro
PYTH above $0.10 by Dec 31?
Category: Crypto
MARKETS
How Pyth resolves markets
When an event ends, the market is resolved automatically based on data provided by Pyth, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome.
MARKETS
Disputes and arbitration
If there's a discrepancy or suspected error in a resolution, a dispute mechanism lets the outcome be challenged and reviewed before final settlement.
GAMIFICATION
XP and levels
You earn XP for every prediction you make and for daily check-ins. Your accumulated XP sets your level and your spot on the public leaderboard.
GAMIFICATION
Daily check-in
On your Profile page, you can check in once a day. The XP you earn grows with each consecutive day (1, 3, 5, 7 XP...) — but if you miss a day, the streak resets back to zero.
GAMIFICATION
Weekly jackpot
A percentage of the fees generated by Arcdiction bets feeds a community jackpot. Every week, 10 people are rewarded based on accumulated XP — the more XP, the better the odds. See details on the Jackpot page.
ROADMAP
Phase 1 — MVP (current)
Initial markets
Crypto (BTC), Sports (Champions League) and Macro (Fed), with more categories on the way.
Format
Binary markets (Yes/No), with initial liquidity provided by the platform itself.
Resolution
Via Pyth, with a dispute/arbitration mechanism.
ROADMAP
Phase 2 — User-created markets
Users will be able to freely create their own prediction markets, including setting initial odds/percentages. To avoid subjective resolution, market creation will be limited to assets/data supported by Pyth Network (crypto, equities, indices). The market creator earns a percentage of the fees it generates. This phase also brings bet settlement directly via smart contract on Arc, replacing the database used in this early testing phase.
SECURITY
Security and dispute resolution
In this testing phase, balances and bets are simulated (test USDC), stored centrally — no real funds move. All markets are resolved based on verifiable Pyth data, minimizing subjective outcomes. (Dispute window, who arbitrates contested cases, and penalties for bad-faith disputes are still being defined for the on-chain contract phase.)
HELP
FAQ
What is Arcdiction?
A gamified prediction market platform, built on Arc.
How are markets resolved?
Automatically, based on Pyth Network data.
Do I need USDC to participate?
In this testing phase, every wallet automatically gets $10 of simulated balance to bet with.
Which wallets can I use?
Any Web3-compatible wallet, like MetaMask and Rabby.
How does XP work?
You earn XP by making predictions and daily check-ins. XP sets your level and your leaderboard position.
Will I be able to create my own markets?
Yes — starting in Phase 2, any user will be able to create markets, as long as they're based on assets covered by Pyth Network.